2004—2015年甘肃省人间布鲁氏菌病与气象因素的相关性
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S855.1

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兰州市人才创新创业项目(19-RC-72)


Relevance of Meteorological Factors to Human Brucellosis in Gansu Province from 2004 to 2015
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    摘要:

    为探索甘肃省气象因素与人间布鲁氏菌病发生之间的相关性,找出主要影响因素,以有效防控布鲁氏菌病,收集2004—2015年甘肃省月气象监测数据和布鲁氏菌病月发病数据,通过SPSS 20.0软件进行主成分分析,提取与布鲁氏菌病发生有关的主要气象因素。结果显示:2004—2015年,甘肃省布鲁氏菌病年发病数呈逐年增长趋势;在纳入分析的气象因素中,平均气温与和降水量均与布鲁氏菌病发生率呈正相关,且P<0.05。结果表明,平均气温和降水量是影响甘肃省布鲁氏菌病发生的主要气象因素,均对布鲁氏菌病发病率存在正向作用。因此,随时监测气候变化,及早预警,对控制布鲁氏菌病发生有一定的积极意义。

    Abstract:

    In order to identify the relevance of meteorological factors to the occurrence of human brucellosis in Gansu Province,and to find out major relevant factors to effectively prevent and control brucellosis,the data of meteorological monitoring and incidence of brucellosis per month in the province from 2004 to 2015 were collected to analyze main components and to extract major meteorological factors related to the occurrence of brucellosis by the SPSS 20.0 software. The results showed that the annual incidence of brucellosis increased year by year in these years;for the meteorological factors included in the analysis,average temperature and amount of rainfall were positively correlated with the incidence of brucellosis(P<0.05). It was concluded that the occurrence of brucellosis was mainly influenced by average temperature and amount of rainfall that acted as the major meteorological factors in the province and played a positive role in the incidence of the disease. Therefore,it was of certain positive significance for controlling the occurrence of brucellosis through monitoring climate changes at any time and early warning.

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王莹,郭伟泉,向媛媛,包凯,高文龙.2004—2015年甘肃省人间布鲁氏菌病与气象因素的相关性[J].《中国动物检疫》编辑部,2022,39(1):18-22.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-01-06
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